ELIZA

return kwic search for system out of >500 occurrences
331253 occurrences (No.58 in the rank) during 5 years in the PubMed. [no cache] 500 found

127) The key point is to consider this incidence rate as a normal distribution in which both parameters (mean and variance) are modelled differently, depending on whether the system is in an epidemic or non-epidemic phase.

--- ABSTRACT ---

PMID:21873301 DOI:10.1177/0962280211414853

2015 Statistical methods in medical research

* Bayesian hierarchical Poisson models with a hidden Markov structure for the detection of influenza epidemic outbreaks.

- Considerable effort has been devoted to the development of statistical algorithms for the automated monitoring of influenza surveillance data. In this article, we introduce a framework of models for the early detection of the onset of an influenza epidemic which is applicable to different kinds of surveillance data. In particular, the process of the observed cases is modelled via a Bayesian Hierarchical Poisson model in which the intensity parameter is a function of the incidence rate. The key point is to consider this incidence rate as a normal distribution in which both parameters (mean and variance) are modelled differently, depending on whether the system is in an epidemic or non-epidemic phase. To do so, we propose a hidden Markov model in which the transition between both phases is modelled as a function of the epidemic state of the previous week. Different options for modelling the rates are described, including the option of modelling the mean at each phase as autoregressive processes of order 0, 1 or 2. Bayesian inference is carried out to provide the probability of being in an epidemic state at any given moment. The methodology is applied to various influenza data sets. The results indicate that our methods outperform previous approaches in terms of sensitivity, specificity and timeliness.

--- ABSTRACT END ---

[
right
kwic]

[frequency of next (right) word to system]

(1)88 null	(12)6 by	(23)3 (ANS)	(34)2 diseases
(2)30 and	(13)6 has	(24)3 (CNS)	(35)2 including
(3)19 is	(14)5 are	(25)3 a	(36)2 involvement
(4)18 of	(15)5 might	(26)3 after	(37)2 known
(5)18 was	(16)5 the	(27)3 as	(38)2 on
(6)17 in	(17)4 Adhesive	(28)3 based	(39)2 one
(7)16 that	(18)4 can	(29)3 development	(40)2 plays
(8)15 for	(19)4 have	(30)3 we	(41)2 related
(9)13 to	(20)4 may	(31)2 (GIS)	(42)2 results
(10)8 which	(21)4 using	(32)2 containing	(43)2 used
(11)7 with	(22)4 were	(33)2 demonstrated

add keyword

--- WordNet output for system --- =>制度組織体系的方式, システム, 組織, 整然とした手順, (思想などの)体系, 体制 Overview of noun system The noun system has 9 senses (first 8 from tagged texts) 1. (43) system -- (instrumentality that combines interrelated interacting artifacts designed to work as a coherent entity; "he bought a new stereo system"; "the system consists of a motor and a small computer") 2. (23) system, scheme -- (a group of independent but interrelated elements comprising a unified whole; "a vast system of production and distribution and consumption keep the country going") 3. (14) system -- ((physical chemistry) a sample of matter in which substances in different phases are in equilibrium; "in a static system oil cannot be replaced by water on a surface"; "a system generating hydrogen peroxide") 4. (10) system, system of rules -- (a complex of methods or rules governing behavior; "they have to operate under a system they oppose"; "that language has a complex system for indicating gender") 5. (8) arrangement, organization, organisation, system -- (an organized structure for arranging or classifying; "he changed the arrangement of the topics"; "the facts were familiar but it was in the organization of them that he was original"; "he tried to understand their system of classification") 6. (7) system -- (a group of physiologically or anatomically related organs or parts; "the body has a system of organs for digestion") 7. (6) system -- (a procedure or process for obtaining an objective; "they had to devise a system that did not depend on cooperation") 8. (1) system -- (the living body considered as made up of interdependent components forming a unified whole; "exercise helped him get the alcohol out of his system") 9. organization, organisation, system -- (an ordered manner; orderliness by virtue of being methodical and well organized; "his compulsive organization was not an endearing quality"; "we can't do it unless we establish some system around here") --- WordNet end ---